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我国典型煤化工技术潜在出口能力评价

Evaluation on potential export capacity of China’s typical complete  coal chemical industry

  • 摘要: 能源及其相关化工技术的发展与国民经济发展和国家安全息息相关。在我国快速发展过程中,能源化工领域开发的一些具有自主知识产权的技术已经达到国际领先水平。推进能源化工技术的输出对于促进经济发展、提高我国出口产品的技术含量、优化出口产品结构、开拓和保护国外商品市场、带动产品和设备出口方面发挥着重要作用,而研究煤化工技术潜在出口能力是推进技术输出的必要工作。目前,我国尚未形成完整的煤化工领域技术的潜在出口能力评价指标体系,对此,构建了煤化工技术潜在出口能力评价指标体系,提出利用层次分析法对煤化工技术潜在出口能力的定量评价方法。在现有调研结果的基础上,利用该方法对代表性成套技术:煤气化技术—神宁炉、甲醇制烯烃技术—DMTO和煤炭间接液化成套工艺技术包(中科合成油)进行了评价。评价结果为煤气化技术—神宁炉排名第1,其次是甲醇制烯烃技术—DMTO和煤炭间接液化成套工艺技术包(中科合成油);同时发现制约我国煤化工技术出口潜力的关键因素是海外竞争力、国际认可程度以及技术性能等。对此提出以下建议:① 完善能源化工技术出口政策,加强政策扶持,创造有利环境;抓住机遇,推动转型升级,实现可持续发展;② 加强自主研发,提升工艺技术水平,树立国际品牌形象。

     

    Abstract: The development of energy and related chemical technologies is closely related to the development of the national economy and national security.In the process of rapid development in China, some technologies with independent intellectual property rights developed in the field of energy and chemical industry have reached the international leading level. Promoting the export of energy and chemical technology plays an important role in promoting economic development, improving the technical content of my country’s export products, optimizing the structure of export products, developing and protecting foreign commodity markets, and driving the export of products and equipment. Studying the potential export capacity of coal chemical technology is a necessary work to promote technological output. At present, China has not yet formed a complete set of indicators for evaluating the potential export capacity of technologies in the coal chemical industry. In this regard, an evaluation index system for the potential export capacity of coal chemical technology was constructed, and a quantitative evaluation method for the potential export capacity of coal chemical technology was proposed using the AHP. On the basis of the existing research results, this method was used to evaluate the representative complete sets of technologies: coal gasification technology - Shenning furnace, methanol to olefin technology - DMTO and coal indirect liquefaction technology package (Zhongke Synthetic Oil). The evaluation result is that coal gasification technology-Shenning furnace ranks first, followed by methanol to olefin technology-DMTO and indirect coal liquefaction complete process technology package (Synfuels China). At the same time, it is found that the key factors restricting the export potential of China’s coal chemical technology are overseas competitiveness, international recognition and technical performance. In this regard, the following suggestions are put forward:① Improve the export policy of energy and chemical technology, strengthen policy support, and create a favorable environment; seize the opportunity, promote transformation and upgrading, and achieve sustainable development; ② Strengthen independent research and development, improve the level of process technology, and establish a International brand image.

     

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