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基于机器学习的露天矿山矿卡有人驾驶速度分布预测方法

Machine learning-based prediction method for open-pit mining truck speed distribution in manned operation

  • 摘要: 针对露天矿卡车速度的预测和调度优化的需求,开发和应用一种基于机器学习的方法。露天矿山是煤矿开采的重要方式,因此提高矿卡的运输效率至关重要。通过机器学习来实现车速的精准预测,以提高生产效率、降低成本并增加工作安全性。采用数据清洗、曲率和坡度计算、以及机器学习模型构建的方法。首先,对数据进行清洗,排除噪声数据,并将时间和设备信息进行转换。接着,利用经纬度数据计算曲率半径和坡度,以便更准确地描述道路条件。最后,使用随机森林和XGBoost等机器学习算法,以基于车载数据和气象传感器数据对车速进行预测。实验结果表明,基于机器学习的模型能够高度准确地预测露天矿卡的车速。其中,基于随机森林的模型具有更低的均方误差和更高的决定系数,表现优于基于XGBoost的模型。这些模型的预测性能为生产和调度提供了有力支持。研究表明,机器学习在露天矿卡车速度预测和调度中具有广泛的应用前景。这一技术有望提高装载和卸载任务的准确性,减少资源浪费和等待时间,减少交通拥堵,提高生产效率。此外,该技术有助于提前预测危险情况,如超速,以提高工作安全性。机器学习还可以支持实时决策,以应对不断变化的情况。尽管研究主要关注了露天矿卡的车速预测,但机器学习技术在物流、采矿和其他领域也具有广泛应用前景。这一研究为探索机器学习在工业和矿山领域的应用提供了有力的范例,为未来的研究和创新提供了启示。

     

    Abstract: The purpose is to develop and apply a machine learning-based approach for the prediction and scheduling optimization of open-pit mining truck speeds. Open-pit mining is a significant method for coal mining, making it crucial to enhance the transportation efficiency of mining trucks. Using machine learning to achieve accurate prediction of vehicle speed, in order to improve production efficiency, reduce costs, and enhance work safety. The methodology encompasses data cleansing, curvature and gradient calculation, and the construction of machine learning models. Firstly, the data was cleaned to eliminate noisy data, and the time and device information were converted. Next, use latitude and longitude data to calculate curvature radius and slope, in order to more accurately describe road conditions. Finally, machine learning algorithms such as random forest and XGBoost are used to predict vehicle speed based on onboard data and weather sensor data. The experimental results demonstrate that machine learning-based models can predict open-pit mining truck speeds highly accurately. Among these models, the Random Forest-based model exhibited lower mean squared error and a higher coefficient of determination, outperforming the XGBoost-based model. The predictive performance of these models provides robust support for production and scheduling. The conclusion is that machine learning holds substantial potential in open-pit mining truck speed prediction and scheduling. This technology is poised to enhance the precision of loading and unloading tasks, reduce resource wastage and waiting times, alleviate traffic congestion, and improve production efficiency. Additionally, it aids in early prediction of hazardous situations such as speeding, thereby enhancing work safety. Machine learning also supports real-time decision-making to adapt to constantly changing circumstances. While the study primarily focused on the prediction of open-pit mining truck speeds, machine learning techniques have extensive applications in logistics, mining, and other domains. This research serves as a strong example for exploring the application of machine learning in the industrial and mining sectors, offering insights for future research and innovation.

     

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