高级检索

基于位移协调系数的岩石破坏预测卷积模型

Convolutional model of rock failure prediction based on displacement coordination coefficient

  • 摘要: 岩石稳定状态判识及破坏时间预测的研究对煤矿动力灾害的防治具有重要意义。为研究岩石稳定状态的判识及破坏时间预测的方法,融合位移协调系数指标和轴向应力曲线构建了CNN-LSTM-Attention的卷积模型,比较了不同输入步长在该卷积模型下的岩石稳定状态的判识效果,进一步通过消融试验评价卷积模型各组成部分的贡献,最后提出了基于位移协调系数指标和轴向应力曲线的岩石破坏时间预测方法。结果表明:融合位移协调系数指标和轴向应力曲线的CNN-LSTM-Attention卷积模型在岩石稳定性判识任务中,100步长输入时卷积模型表现最优,召回率均大于82.28%;14步长输入时训练效率更具优势。消融试验表明,该模型的LSTM模块主要增强模型对高风险区特征的捕捉能力,CNN模块提升中风险区的识别效果,Attention机制能协同优化精确率和召回率,实现模型对岩石稳定性判识能力的全面均衡提升。对于不同岩性的岩石,卷积模型可在触发后的20 s内预测出岩石最终破坏时间,误差率小于9%。研究成果利用位移协调系数指标和轴向应力曲线为岩石稳定状态判识及破坏时间预测提供了一种新的有效方法,能够为煤矿动力灾害的预警与风险评估提供新的思路。

     

    Abstract: The study of rock stability state judgment and failure time prediction is of great significance for the prevention and control of coal mine dynamic disasters. To study the method of identifying the stable state of rocks and predicting the failure time, a CNN-LSTM Attention convolutional model was constructed by integrating the displacement coordination coefficient index and axial stress curve. The recognition effect of different input steps on the stable state of rocks under this convolutional model was compared. Furthermore, the contribution of each component of the convolutional model was evaluated through ablation experiments. Finally, a rock failure time prediction method based on the displacement coordination coefficient index and axial stress curve was proposed. The results show that: the convolutional model of CNN-LSTM Attention, which integrates displacement coordination coefficient index and axial stress curve, performs the best in rock stability identification task with a recall rate greater than 82.28% when the input step size is 100; The 14 step input has an advantage in training efficiency. The ablation experiment shows that the LSTM module of the model mainly enhances the model's ability to capture features of high-risk areas, the CNN module improves the recognition effect of medium risk areas, and the Attention mechanism can synergistically optimize accuracy and recall, achieving a comprehensive and balanced improvement of the model's ability to identify rock stability. For different rock the convolutional model can predict the final failure time of the rock within 20 seconds after triggering, with an error rate of less than 9%. The research results provide a new and effective method for the identification of rock stability and the prediction of failure time, and can provide a scientific idea for early warning and risk assessment of coal mine dynamic disasters.

     

/

返回文章
返回