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机器学习辅助的富油煤原位热解多场耦合数值模拟研究

Study on multi-field coupling numerical simulation of in-situ pyrolysis of tar-rich coal assisted by machine learning

  • 摘要: 在“双碳”目标及全球能源结构深度调整背景下,富油煤地下原位热解技术因兼具高效产油与低碳特性,成为缓解我国油气对外依存度、保障能源安全的重要方向。针对地下原位环境复杂、热解过程强化与工艺参数优化困难等挑战,以陕北榆林富油煤为研究对象,基于达西渗流定律与热解反应动力学方程,构建热−流−化学反应多场耦合数值模型;系统模拟温度场、压力场、流体渗流场及产物生成的动态演化过程,采用多场耦合数值模拟与随机森林机器学习相结合的方法,研究热载体温度(550~800 ℃)、注入压力(4~8 MPa)、煤层渗透率(50~300 mD,即4.94~29.61×10−14 m2)及井口部署方案(单井、双井、四井注热)对热解过程的影响规律,并构建以操作成本最小化和转化率达标为目标的智能优化模型。结果表明:热解温度在650~700 ℃存在最优效率区间,700 ℃下加热100 d转化率达92.88%且能耗增量趋缓;8 MPa注入压力可使轻油与气体产物高浓度区域较4 MPa时扩展30%,温度场均匀性显著提升;300 mD(2.96×10−13 m2)渗透率工况下热解反应区向煤层深部扩展,传热效率显著增强。多井注热方案中,四井部署可使150 d热解温度场均匀性显著提升,产物分布范围较单井明显扩大。基于820组模拟数据训练的随机森林模型对温度和转化率的预测决定系数分别达0.988 8和0.997 3,优化得到589.47 ℃注入温度、4.0 MPa注入压力、76.3 mD(7.53×10−14 m2)渗透率及189.5 d加热时长的组合,可实现90.47%转化率与操作成本的协同优化。研究成果为富油煤原位热解工艺参数设计提供了理论依据,为后续工程决策构建了数据驱动的优化框架。

     

    Abstract: In the context of the 'double carbon' goals and global energy structure adjustments, underground in-situ pyrolysis technology for tar-rich coal has become an important direction for alleviating China's dependence on foreign tar and gas due to its high efficiency and low carbon footprint. To address the challenges posed by complex underground in-situ conditions, difficult pyrolysis process intensification and optimization of process parameters, this study takes tar-rich coal from Yulin in northern Shaanxi as the research object. A multi-field coupled numerical model integrating thermal, flow and chemical reaction processes was constructed based on Darcy's seepage law and pyrolysis reaction kinetics equations, and the dynamic evolution of temperature field, pressure field, fluid seepage field and product generation was systematically simulated. The influence of heat carrier temperature (550~800 ℃), injection pressure (4~8 MPa), coal seam permeability (50~300 mD, 4.94~29.61×10−14 m2) and wellhead deployment schemes (single well, double well and four well heat injection) on pyrolysis process was systematically studied by combining multi-field coupled numerical simulation with random forest machine learning, and an intelligent optimization model was constructed to minimize operating cost and reach the standard of conversion rate. The results indicate that an optimal efficiency range exists at pyrolysis temperatures of 650-700 ℃, with a conversion rate of 92.88% achieved after heating at 700 ℃ for 100 days. The energy consumption increases gradually. The injection pressure of 8 MPa can expand the high-concentration area of light tar and gas products by 30% compared to that of 4 MPa, and the uniformity of the temperature field is significantly improved. Under the condition of 300 mD (2.96×10−13 m2) permeability, the heat transfer efficiency of the pyrolysis reaction zone extending to the deep part of the coal seam is obviously enhanced. In the multi-well heat injection scheme, the deployment of four wells can significantly improve the uniformity of the pyrolysis temperature field for 150 days, and the distribution range of products is more obvious than that of a single well. Based on 820 sets of simulation data, the predictive determination coefficients of the random forest model for temperature and conversion rate are 0.988 8 and 0.997 3, respectively. The combination of injection temperature of 589.47 ℃, injection pressure of 4.0 MPa, permeability of 76.3 mD (7.53×10−14 m2) and heating time of 189.5 days can be optimized, and the cooperative optimization of 90.47% conversion rate and operating cost can be realized. The research results provide a theoretical basis for process parameter design of tar-rich coal in-situ pyrolysis, and establish a data-driven optimization framework for engineering decision-making.

     

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