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基于模糊集对分析法的底板突水危险性评价研究

Study on evaluation of mine floor water inrush danger based on Fuzzy Set Pair Analysis Method

  • 摘要: 为了对底板突水等级进行科学合理的评价,建立基于模糊集对分析法的底板突水危险性评价模型。首先,从地质构造、水文地质条件、底板隔水层条件、开采条件4个方面选取断裂密度、褶皱、断层导水性等13个指标构建底板突水危险性评价指标体系;其次,按照现有常用底板突水等级分类,将底板突水危险性分为4个等级;再次,通过各指标实际数值与1级标准比照求出各指标模糊联系度,并采取信息熵确定各指标权重,从而求出样本模糊联系度;最后,利用最大隶属度原则进行评价判断。该模型应用于肥城矿区5个地段,应用结果表明:基于模糊集对分析法的底板突水危险性评价模型能够与基于未确知测度理论的底板突水评价结果以及实际情况均能完全一致,能够应用于底板突水危险性评价中。

     

    Abstract: In order to realize a scientific rational evaluation on the floor water inrush grade,based on the entropy weight method and the Fuzzy Set pair Analysis Method,a danger evaluation model of floor water inrush was established.Firstly,from the four aspects,of the geological structure,hydro geological conditions,floor isolated layer conditions in the floor and mining conditions,thirteen indexes of the fracture density,fold,fault hydraulic conductivity and others were selected to establish the evaluation index system of the floor water inrush.Secondly,according to the classification of the available conventional floor water inrush grades,the dangers of floor water inrush were divided into 4 grades.Thirdly,with the comparison between the actual value of each index with the first-grade standard,a fuzzy connection degree of each index was calculated.And the information entropy was applied to determine each index and thus the fuzzy connection degree of sample was calculated.Finally,the maximum subordinate degree principle was applied to the evaluation and judgment.The model was applied to five sections of Feicheng Mining Area and the study result showed that based on the theory of Fuzzy Set Pair Analysis,the danger evaluation model of the floor water inrush could have the full same to the evaluation results of the floor water inrush evaluation based on unascertained measure theory as well as the actual situation and could be applied to the evaluation of water inrush danger of floor.

     

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