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基于回归模型的断层构造复杂度分析

Analysis on complexity of fault structure based on regression model

  • 摘要: 为了对矿区断层构造复杂度进行更加合理地评价,需要对断层多元信息进行综合分析。以徐州某煤矿为例,分析了断层的分形维数、落差及倾角等因素与矿井突水点涌水量的相关关系,建立断层信息与涌水量回归模型,通过Arc GIS强大的空间分析功能生成断层对突水影响函数等值线图。与单一依据分形维数的插值结果相比,利用辅助信息的回归插值模型能够克服断层分形维数不能表达垂向信息的缺点以及断层信息缺失情况下的断层构造复杂度难以评价,提高了断层构造复杂度评价精度。最后对断层构造复杂度等级进行划分,能有效预测矿井突水。

     

    Abstract: In order to have a more rational complexity evaluation on the fault structure in the mining area,a comprehensive analysis shouldbe conducted on the multi i nformation of the fault. Based on a mine in Xuzhou as an example,the paper analyzed the correlative relationbetween the fractal dimension value,drop,inclination and other factor of the fault and the unit water inflow of the mine water inrush point.A regression model of the fault information and the water inflow was established. With a powerful space analysis function of the Arc GIS,thefault to the water inrush influence function contour map was generated. In comparison with the interpolation result of the single b asis fractaldimension,the regression interpolation model of the auxillary information could be applied to make up the vertical information shortage notexpressed by the fract al dimension of the fault and make up the complexity evaluation under the deficiency of the fault information as wellas to improve the complexity evaluation accuracy of the fault structure. Finally,the grade of the fault structure complexity was divided andcould effectively predict the water inrush occurred.

     

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