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刘鹏, 景江波, 魏卉子, 虞婧, 鹿晓龙, 刘明明. 基于时空约束的瓦斯事故知识库构建及预警推理[J]. 煤炭科学技术, 2020, 48(7).
引用本文: 刘鹏, 景江波, 魏卉子, 虞婧, 鹿晓龙, 刘明明. 基于时空约束的瓦斯事故知识库构建及预警推理[J]. 煤炭科学技术, 2020, 48(7).
LIU Peng, JING Jiangbo, WEI Huizi, YU Jing, LU Xiaolong, LIU Mingming. Construction of knowledge base and early warning inference of gas accident based on time-space constraints[J]. COAL SCIENCE AND TECHNOLOGY, 2020, 48(7).
Citation: LIU Peng, JING Jiangbo, WEI Huizi, YU Jing, LU Xiaolong, LIU Mingming. Construction of knowledge base and early warning inference of gas accident based on time-space constraints[J]. COAL SCIENCE AND TECHNOLOGY, 2020, 48(7).

基于时空约束的瓦斯事故知识库构建及预警推理

Construction of knowledge base and early warning inference of gas accident based on time-space constraints

  • 摘要: 现有煤矿瓦斯事故预警方法多以基于监测数据的人工防控为主,为了实现瓦斯事故智能化分析预警以及相关知识复用和共享,基于本体和事故树理论,提出构建动态瓦斯事故预警知识库及推理模型,满足各致灾因素时间空间共存约束下的瓦斯事故知识描述和分析预警。构建本体模型及推理规则库,实现从根源危险源到基本事件的隐性知识推理,根据推理所得基本事件和顶上事件关系,计算出动态时空约束下的瓦斯事故顶上事件发生概率及事故等级,最后根据事故等级给出相应的决策支持。试验结果表明,提出的瓦斯事故预警知识库及推理模型,可有效计算各种时空约束下的动态瓦斯事故发生概率,在瓦斯事故知识描述和智能化预警领域做出了有益的探索。

     

    Abstract: Current methods for early warning of gas accidents in coal mines are mostly based on manual prevention and control based on monitoring data.In order to realize the intelligent analysis and early warning of gas accidents and the reuse and sharing of related knowledge, based on the ontology and accident tree theory, it is proposed to build a dynamic gas accident early warning knowledge base and reasoning model to meet the description and analysis and warning of gas accident knowledge under the constraints of coexistence of time and space of various disaster-causing factors.Firstly, an ontology model and inference rule base was constructed to realize tacit knowledge inference from root hazards to basic events.Then the occurrence probability of top event and the corresponding levels can be calculated according to the relation between basic events and top event obtained from the previous inference.Finally,corresponding decision support can be given in accordance with the early warning levels.The experimental results indicate that the proposed knowledge base and early warning inference model for gas accident can effectively calculate the occurrence probability of dynamic gas accidents under the joint temporal and spatial constraints.Valuable exploration was made in the field of gas accident knowledge description and intelligent early warning.

     

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