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基于AHP-FCE法的煤矿瓦斯灾害危险源定量评价

Quantitative evaluation method of mine gas disaster hazard sources based on AHP-FCE Method

  • 摘要: 为了有效克服我国煤矿瓦斯灾害重大危险源评价方面使用模糊综合评判法,所存在的指标权重由专家根据经验给出带来的主观性等问题,采用层次分析法与模糊综合评判法相结合对煤矿重大危险源安全指标体系进行优化,构建了一种新的煤矿重大危险源安全评价方法,即AHP-FCE法。并利用湖南省60家煤矿企业的实际数据,通过自主开发的原型系统对该方法进行了验证,结果表明:使用AHP-FCE方法确定的指标体系和权重与理论分析完全吻合,且具有定量和可解释性强的优点,在实际煤矿瓦斯灾害重大危险源定量评价中具有较好的效果,使用AHP-FCE方法识别的重大危险源与专家给出的结果一致。

     

    Abstract: In order to effectively overcome the index weight provided with subjectivity based on experiences of the experts existed in the fuzzy comprehensive eval uation method applied to the high hazard source evaluation of the coal mine gas disaster in China, the AHP Method and the fuzzy comprehensive evaluation method we re combined and applied to the optimization of the mine high hazard source safety index system and to establish a new safety evaluation method AHP-FCE Method of t he mine high hazard sources. With the application of the actual evaluation data of 60 coal mine enterprises in Hunan Province, a self developed prototype system was a pplied to verify the method.The results showed that the index system determined with the AHP-FCE Method could fully fit with the weighting and theoretical analysis an d could have the good effect of the quantitative and high explanation advantages in the quantitative evaluation of the mine actual gas disaster hazard sources. The high hazard sources distinguished with AHP-FCE Method was same to the results provided by the experts.

     

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