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张凯, 胡海峰, 廉旭刚, 蔡音飞. 地表动态沉陷预测正态时间函数模型优化研究[J]. 煤炭科学技术, 2019, (9).
引用本文: 张凯, 胡海峰, 廉旭刚, 蔡音飞. 地表动态沉陷预测正态时间函数模型优化研究[J]. 煤炭科学技术, 2019, (9).
ZHANG Kai, HU Haifeng, LIAN Xugang, CAI Yinfei. Optimization of surface dynamic subsidence prediction normal time function model[J]. COAL SCIENCE AND TECHNOLOGY, 2019, (9).
Citation: ZHANG Kai, HU Haifeng, LIAN Xugang, CAI Yinfei. Optimization of surface dynamic subsidence prediction normal time function model[J]. COAL SCIENCE AND TECHNOLOGY, 2019, (9).

地表动态沉陷预测正态时间函数模型优化研究

Optimization of surface dynamic subsidence prediction normal time function model

  • 摘要: 开采沉陷动态预计描述了地表移动变形与开采时间的关系,在防治采空区地表移动变形破坏方面具有重要的指导意义。时间函数是动态预计的理论核心,以其为基础建立的开采沉陷动态预计模型为地表建筑物的保护提供了实时和准确的理论数据依据,正态分布时间函数作为一种新型的时间函数,在时空上具有完备性,但应用于动态预计存在理论缺陷,通过对比正态分布时间函数与理想时间函数的特点的差异性,分析其缺陷是由该时间函数的密度函数有效积分域亏损随时间参数c的减小增加造成的,为了拓展其应用范围,提高其预计精度,采用整体偏差修正的方法将函数纠正至理论位置,消除了理论偏差,再利用生长函数模型对正态分布时间函数进行优化。结果表明:优化后的正态分布时间函数修正了动态预计关键节点处函数值的理论误差,拓宽了预计参数的选取范围,可以适用不同的地质采矿条件,解决了原本时间函数终点预计误差随预计参数的减小而增大的问题。通过与大同矿区两工作面实测数据的对比分析表明使用优化后正态分布时间函数比原正态分布时间函数在地表下沉动态预计精度上有所提高,更加符合实际情况,可为高精度预计矿区地表移动和重要建筑物的保护提供更为可靠的数据依据。

     

    Abstract: The mining subsidence dynamic prediction describes the relationship between the surface movement deformation and the mining time, and has important guiding significance in controlling the surface deformation and failure of the gob. The time function is the theoretical core of dynamic prediction. The dynamic prediction model of mining subsidence based on it provides real-time and accurate theoretical data basis for the protection of surface buildings. As a new type of time function, the normal distribution time function is complete in time and space, but it has theoretical defects in dynamic prediction. By comparing the difference between the characteristics of the normal distribution time function and the ideal time function, the defect was analyzed by the decrease of the effective integral domain loss of the density function of the time function with the decrease of the time parameter c. In order to expand its application range and improve its prediction accuracy, the whole deviation correction method was used to correct the function to the theoretical position, eliminating the theoretical deviation, and then using the growth function model to optimize the normal distribution time function. The results show that the optimized normal distribution time function corrects the theoretical error of the function value at the dynamic prediction key node, broadens the selection range of the expected parameters, which can be applied to different geological mining conditions and solve the expected error of the original time function end point. The problem of increasing the parameter is increased. The comparison with the measured data of the two working faces in Datong mining area shows that the optimized normal distribution time function is better than the original normal distribution time function in the surface prediction dynamic accuracy, which is more in line with the actual situation and can be predicted with high precision. The movement of the surface of the mining area and the protection of important buildings provide a more reliable data basis.

     

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