Static-dynamic rockburst risk assessment method in near-vertical coal seams

The existing rockburst risk assessment methods generally belong to static assessment method which normally depends on the geological and mining conditions that are revealed prior to mining. There is commonly a certain gap between the assessment results and the real situation. How to combine with the monitoring data in the mining process to get more realistic evaluation results is a problem that needs to be further solved. To this end, this work proposes a static-dynamic coupling rockburst risk assessment method taking into account the geological and mining conditions as well as the monitoring data, and the method has been being applied in typical panels in near-vertical coal seams. Firstly, a static evaluation method used before mining based on the improved comprehensive index method is proposed. The evaluation indicators contained in the comprehensive index method are linearly normalized to obtain the single indicator risk index. The AHP method is used to assign weights to each evaluation indicator, and the weighted summation of all indicator risk indexes is calculated to obtain the risk indexes determined by geological factors and mining technology factors, respectively. Then the weighted mean of the two risk indexes is used as the static evaluation risk index. Secondly, a dynamic evaluation method used during mining by utilizing the monitoring data is constructed. According to the characteristics of microseismic monitoring and borehole stress monitoring and their relationship with rockburst risk, the dynamic evaluation indicators are constructed based on the microseismic energy density and borehole stress variation. The evaluation indicators are linearly normalized to obtain two evaluation indexes. The weighted mean of the two indexes is used as the dynamic evaluation risk index. Finally, the two proposed methods are combined to get a static-dynamic coupling evaluation model. The coupling evaluation risk index is obtained by weighted average of the static evaluation risk index and the dynamic evaluation risk index, and then the risk grade and risk area are determined. The method is applied in +450B3+6 panel of Wudong Coal Mine. Results show that the static evaluation method demarcates 4 medium risk areas and 1 weak risk area before the mining of the panel, the dynamic evaluation method determines that the rock pillar side has high risk level in the mining process of the panel, and the static dynamic coupling evaluation re-evaluates the weak risk area of the static evaluation to the medium risk area. By investigating the monitoring data of support pressure, the numerical simulation results and the rockburst occurrence on site during the mining process of the panel, the evaluation results are verified, and it is found that the static and dynamic coupling evaluation results are more consistent with the actual situation. This work provides a new method and a new idea for the risk assessment of rock burst.