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基于IPSO-ELM模型的露天矿抛掷爆破效果预测研究

Study on prediction of blast casting results in open-pit minebased on IPSO-ELM model

  • 摘要: 抛掷爆破效果直接影响露天矿剥离成本,对抛掷爆破—拉斗铲倒堆工艺系统生产效率具有重要影响,为提高露天矿抛掷爆破效果预测的精度,反馈优化抛掷爆破设计。在分析露天矿抛掷爆破效果影响因素的基础上,建立参数优化后粒子群算法和极限学习机相结合的露天矿抛掷爆破效果IPSO-ELM预测模型。利用Sigmoid惯性权重自适应调整和学习因子动态调整的参数优化方法,对传统粒子群算法中迭代效率低、易陷入局部收敛的缺点进行改善,采用黑岱沟露天煤矿抛掷爆破实测数据对该模型进行实例分析,选取炸药单耗、排距、台阶高度、孔距、最小抵抗线作为输入变量及有效抛掷率和松散系数作为输出变量,建立露天矿抛掷爆破效果IPSO-ELM预测模型,并将ELM模型、GA-ELM模型与其进行对比。研究结果表明:将常规粒子群算法中的惯性权值和学习因子进行自适应和动态调整的改进之后,模型的收敛速度明显提高;IPSO-ELM预测模型的运行时间短、收敛速度快,平均预测精度达到0.989 5,均方误差、平均绝对误差、平均相对误差控制在0.271 4、5.056 5%、0.260 3%,预测误差明显低于ELM、GA-ELM模型且预测精度最高,对预测露天矿抛掷爆破效果具有较好的适用性。

     

    Abstract: The result of blast casting affects the stripping cost of open-pit mine directly,and has an important influence on the production efficiency to the stripping technology system of blast casting-dragline. In order to improve the accuracy of blast casting result prediction and feedback the design of parameters optimally. A prediction model(IPSO-ELM)was established for blast casting result in open-cast mine by combining of parameter-Improved Particle Swarm Optimization(IPSO)and Extreme Learning Machine(ELM)based on the analysis of the blast casting result influence factors. By adopting the parameter optimization method of Sigmoid inertial weight adaptive adjustment and learning factor dynamic adjustment,the shortcomings of low iteration efficiency and easy to fall into local convergence in the traditional particle swarm optimization are improved,and the model is analyzed by using the blasting data of the open-cast mine in Heidaigou,the prediction model of blast casting result was established by selecting powder factor,burden,bench height,hole spacing,minimum resistance line as the input variables,as well as effective stripping rate and loosen coefficient as the output variable,besides,the ELM model and the GA-ELM model were compared with it. The results show that the convergence speed of the model is enhanced obviously by improved adaptively and dynamically the inertia weight and learning factor of the conventional particle swarm optimization algorithm. IPSO-LMELM model is the feature of shorter running time and higher convergence speed,its average prediction accuracy reached 0.989 5,and the mean square error,mean absolute error and mean relative error were controlled at 0.271 4,5.056 5% and 0.260 3%. The prediction error of IPSO-ELM is significantly lower than ELM and GA-ELM prediction model and the prediction accuracy is the highest.IPSO-ELM has a better applicability for predicting the effect of blast casting in open-pit mines.

     

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