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顺层蠕滑型露天矿土质边坡滑距预测方法研究

Study on prediction method for sliding distance of soil slope bedding creeping in open pit mine

  • 摘要: 边坡滑距预测是滑坡预测预报的一个重要指标,鉴于边坡所处的地质环境各异,滑动破坏规律也呈现不同的模式,传统的各类数学预测方法达到普适性的程度存在一定困难。基于边坡破坏形态空间预测理论与工程实践,针对顺层蠕滑型边坡,致力于探索一种合理、易操作的滑距预测方法。以魏家峁露天煤矿采场工作帮边坡为研究对象,考虑其工程地质特性、边坡形态、物理力学参数以及滑坡体内部颗粒受力等诸多因素,建立顺层边坡离散元三维颗粒流模型,对滑体的运动轨迹进行了模拟分析。随后选取了3种经典数学模型对同一边坡进行了滑坡滑距计算。将数值模拟结果、滑坡滑距预测公式计算结果一同与现场实测结果进行对比。结果表明:颗粒流离散元数值模拟方法计算得出的滑坡滑距与现场实测误差为10%,数学模型方法计算结果误差为33%~102%,数值模拟方法较传统数学模型方法计算结果误差更小,并由于该方法能够更客观的分析滑坡演化、发展过程,可在顺层蠕滑型露天矿边坡中得到较好的应用。因数值模拟方法考虑诸多影响因素,比传统的计算方法有更高的精度和适用性,具有重要的实践意义,可为类似滑坡的预测、避险、治理等方面提供科学依据。

     

    Abstract: Forecast of slide distance is an important indicator of landslide prediction. In view of the different geological environments in which slopes are located and the different modes of sliding failure law, it is difficult for the traditional mathematical prediction methods to reach the degree of universality. Based on the slope failure pattern space prediction theory research and engineering practice, aiming at bedding creeping slope, this paper was devoted to explore a reasonable and easy to operate slip distance prediction method. Taking the Wei jiamao Open-Pit Coal Mine stope slope as the research object, considering the engineering geological condition, the sliding body shape, physical parameters of the landslide, internal particles force and many other factors,the discrete element three-dimensional particle flow model of bedding slope was established to simulate and analyze the trajectory of sliding body. Then three classical mathematical models were selected to calculate the landslide slip distance of the same slope. The numerical simulation results and the calculation results of landslide slip distance prediction formula were compared with the field measured results. The results show that the error between landslide slip distance calculated by particle flow dispersion element numerical simulation method and field measurement is 10%, and the error calculated by mathematical model method is 33%~102%. The error of numerical simulation method is smaller than that of traditional mathematical model method. Because this method can more objectively analyze the evolution and development process of landslide, it can be well applied in bedding creeping open pit mine slope. Because the numerical simulation method takes into account many influencing factors,it has higher accuracy and applicability than the traditional calculation method, and has important practical significance, which can provide scientific basis for similar landslide prediction, risk aversion, treatment and so on.

     

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